Calculators and simulators with real math: true Monte Carlo, compounding, percentiles — not optimistic formulas. Free, no signup.
Risk of ruin with Monte Carlo →We analyse robots and strategies with the broker's real ticks and publish what we find — even when it hurts. 17 «profitable» robots came through here: none survived.
Why your backtest lies →Would you trade a robot without knowing if its edge is real? We put it through real ticks, tail Monte Carlo, walk-forward and a plateau test. Honest report.
How the service works →Above, the backtest curve they sell you: rising on its own, impossible. Below, what the real ticks do with the same system: it rises less and cuts through a drawdown that knocks you out of the market. That gap is what we measure.
Retail trading is full of perfect equity curves, impossible backtests and dream sellers. We do just one thing differently: measure. With the market's real ticks, with the worst case and not the best, and publishing the full method so anyone can reproduce it.
«A pretty backtest is not evidence. Evidence survives real ticks, its own tail risk, and perturbing its parameters. If you haven't measured it, you don't know.»